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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="en">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn publication-format="online">1681-1208</issn>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">47118</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en">
     <subject>ORIGINAL ARTICLES</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group>
     <subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="en">Map of expected earthquakes algorithm and RTL prognostic parameter: Joint application</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Map of expected earthquakes algorithm and RTL prognostic parameter: Joint application</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <contrib-group content-type="authors">
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Sobolev</surname>
       <given-names>G A</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Sobolev</surname>
       <given-names>G A</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Zavyalov</surname>
       <given-names>A D</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Zavyalov</surname>
       <given-names>A D</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Tyupkin</surname>
       <given-names>Yu S</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Tyupkin</surname>
       <given-names>Yu S</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow</institution>
     <country>ru</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow</institution>
     <country>ru</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-2">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow</institution>
     <country>ru</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow</institution>
     <country>ru</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-3">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">National Geophysical Committee of Russian Federation, Moscow</institution>
     <country>ru</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">National Geophysical Committee of Russian Federation, Moscow</institution>
     <country>ru</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <volume>1</volume>
   <issue>4</issue>
   <fpage>301</fpage>
   <lpage>309</lpage>
   <history>
    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2021-11-11T00:53:48+03:00">
     <day>11</day>
     <month>11</month>
     <year>2021</year>
    </date>
   </history>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/47118/view">https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/47118/view</self-uri>
   <abstract xml:lang="ru">
    <p>The estimation of the seismically dangerous zones of Kamchatka and Greece for the nearest years is given in this report on the basis of joint application of MEE Map of expected earthquakes algorithm and of RTL prognostic parameter. MEE algorithm is based on the analysis of such precursors as b -value, density of seismogenic faults, number of weak earthquakes, released seismic energy and is used for intermediate-term prediction of M &gt; 5.5 earthquakes. Many year's statistics of using MEE algorithm in various seismically active areas show that up to 80% of M &gt; 5.5 earthquakes occur in the zones selected by this algorithm with the PD1|K =70% conditional probability. The square of the selected zones is no more than 30-35% of the analyzed seismically active area. On the other hand the algorithm RTL is based on detecting of seismic quiescence and foreshock activation and is used for intermediate-term prediction of strong earthquake  M &gt; 7. Joint application of these two algorithms allows making a prediction of strong earthquakes more reliable. </p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>The estimation of the seismically dangerous zones of Kamchatka and Greece for the nearest years is given in this report on the basis of joint application of MEE Map of expected earthquakes algorithm and of RTL prognostic parameter. MEE algorithm is based on the analysis of such precursors as b -value, density of seismogenic faults, number of weak earthquakes, released seismic energy and is used for intermediate-term prediction of M &gt; 5.5 earthquakes. Many year's statistics of using MEE algorithm in various seismically active areas show that up to 80% of M &gt; 5.5 earthquakes occur in the zones selected by this algorithm with the PD1|K =70% conditional probability. The square of the selected zones is no more than 30-35% of the analyzed seismically active area. On the other hand the algorithm RTL is based on detecting of seismic quiescence and foreshock activation and is used for intermediate-term prediction of strong earthquake  M &gt; 7. Joint application of these two algorithms allows making a prediction of strong earthquakes more reliable. </p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>RTL prognostic parameter</kwd>
    <kwd>expected earthquakes</kwd>
    <kwd>seismically dangerous zones</kwd>
    <kwd>seismic precursors.</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>RTL prognostic parameter</kwd>
    <kwd>expected earthquakes</kwd>
    <kwd>seismically dangerous zones</kwd>
    <kwd>seismic precursors.</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
  </article-meta>
 </front>
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