<!DOCTYPE article
PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.4 20190208//EN"
       "JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.4" xml:lang="en">
 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="en">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn publication-format="online">1681-1208</issn>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">90599</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.2205/2025ES000975</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="edn">jghkbn</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>Спецвыпуск: &quot;Наука о данных, геоинформатика и системный анализ в изучении Земли&quot;</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en">
     <subject>Special Issue: “Data Science, Geoinformatics and Systems Analysis in Geosciences”</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group>
     <subject>Спецвыпуск: &quot;Наука о данных, геоинформатика и системный анализ в изучении Земли&quot;</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="en">Satellite Gravimetry as a Tool for Forecasting Oil and Gas Potential</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Satellite Gravimetry as a Tool for Forecasting Oil and Gas Potential</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <contrib-group content-type="authors">
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4155-9858</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Огнев</surname>
       <given-names>Игорь Николаевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Ognev</surname>
       <given-names>Igor Nikolaevich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>ognev.igor94@gmail.com</email>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат геолого-минералогических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of geological and mineralogical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2675-9077</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Хамидуллина</surname>
       <given-names>Галина Сулеймановна</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Khamidullina</surname>
       <given-names>Galina Suleymanovna</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4269-0962</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Нургалиев</surname>
       <given-names>Данис Карлович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Nourgaliev</surname>
       <given-names>Danis Karlovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>доктор геолого-минералогических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>doctor of geological and mineralogical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0006-2447-1423</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Гараев</surname>
       <given-names>Фагим Назипович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Garaev</surname>
       <given-names>Fagim Nazipovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8078-4022</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Ихсанова</surname>
       <given-names>Диана Ильдаровна</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Ikhsanova</surname>
       <given-names>Diana Ildarovna</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3892-2284</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Муликова</surname>
       <given-names>Динара Илхомовна</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Mulikova</surname>
       <given-names>Dinara Ilkhomovna</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-6"/>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">ФГАОУ ВО &quot;Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет&quot;</institution>
     <city>Казань</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Kazan Federal University</institution>
     <city>Kazan</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-2">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">ФГАОУ ВО &quot;Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет&quot;</institution>
     <city>Казань</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Kazan Federal University</institution>
     <city>Kazan</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-3">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет</institution>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Kazan (Volga) Federal University</institution>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-4">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">ФГАОУ ВО &quot;Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет&quot;</institution>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Kazan Federal University</institution>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-5">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">ФГАОУ ВО &quot;Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет&quot;</institution>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Kazan Federal University</institution>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-6">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">ФГАОУ ВО &quot;Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет&quot;</institution>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Kazan Federal University</institution>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <pub-date publication-format="print" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-05-23T16:41:25+03:00">
    <day>23</day>
    <month>05</month>
    <year>2025</year>
   </pub-date>
   <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-05-23T16:41:25+03:00">
    <day>23</day>
    <month>05</month>
    <year>2025</year>
   </pub-date>
   <volume>25</volume>
   <issue>2</issue>
   <fpage>1</fpage>
   <lpage>5</lpage>
   <history>
    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2024-11-15T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>15</day>
     <month>11</month>
     <year>2024</year>
    </date>
    <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2025-04-15T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>15</day>
     <month>04</month>
     <year>2025</year>
    </date>
   </history>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/90599/view">https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/90599/view</self-uri>
   <abstract xml:lang="ru">
    <p>This study explores the use of satellite gravity data and derived crustal models for predicting oil and gas potential in the east of the Russian platform. The research utilizes structural data (including GOCE satellite gravity-derived Moho depth), thermal data, and hydrocarbon potential data. The methodology involves three steps: 1) statistical analysis using Student's 𝑡-test to identify significant parameters distinguishing areas with and without hydrocarbon fields; 2) classification of the study area into three zones based on their hydrocarbon potential; and 3) application of a logistic regression machine learning model to forecast hydrocarbon potential in uncertain areas. The results show that most analyzed parameters have statistically significant differences between areas with and without hydrocarbon fields. The logistic regression model achieves 83% accuracy in predicting hydrocarbon potential. The study concludes that satellite gravity data and derived crustal models can be effectively used to forecast oil and gas potential in sedimentary basins, with the Precaspian basin, Cis-Ural trough, parts of the Central-Russia and Mezen rift systems, and the Timan-Pechora basin identified as the most promising areas in the east of the Russian platform.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>This study explores the use of satellite gravity data and derived crustal models for predicting oil and gas potential in the east of the Russian platform. The research utilizes structural data (including GOCE satellite gravity-derived Moho depth), thermal data, and hydrocarbon potential data. The methodology involves three steps: 1) statistical analysis using Student's 𝑡-test to identify significant parameters distinguishing areas with and without hydrocarbon fields; 2) classification of the study area into three zones based on their hydrocarbon potential; and 3) application of a logistic regression machine learning model to forecast hydrocarbon potential in uncertain areas. The results show that most analyzed parameters have statistically significant differences between areas with and without hydrocarbon fields. The logistic regression model achieves 83% accuracy in predicting hydrocarbon potential. The study concludes that satellite gravity data and derived crustal models can be effectively used to forecast oil and gas potential in sedimentary basins, with the Precaspian basin, Cis-Ural trough, parts of the Central-Russia and Mezen rift systems, and the Timan-Pechora basin identified as the most promising areas in the east of the Russian platform.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>satellite gravimetry</kwd>
    <kwd>oil and gas content</kwd>
    <kwd>hydrocarbon deposits</kwd>
    <kwd>gravity field</kwd>
    <kwd>hydrocarbon exploration</kwd>
    <kwd>heat flow</kwd>
    <kwd>machine learning</kwd>
    <kwd>logistic regression</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>satellite gravimetry</kwd>
    <kwd>oil and gas content</kwd>
    <kwd>hydrocarbon deposits</kwd>
    <kwd>gravity field</kwd>
    <kwd>hydrocarbon exploration</kwd>
    <kwd>heat flow</kwd>
    <kwd>machine learning</kwd>
    <kwd>logistic regression</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <funding-group>
    <funding-statement xml:lang="ru">This work has been supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation under agreement No. 075–15-2022-299 within the framework of the development program for a world-class Research Centre “Efficient development of the global liquid hydrocarbon reserves”.</funding-statement>
    <funding-statement xml:lang="en">This work has been supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation under agreement No. 075–15-2022-299 within the framework of the development program for a world-class Research Centre “Efficient development of the global liquid hydrocarbon reserves”.</funding-statement>
   </funding-group>
  </article-meta>
 </front>
 <body>
  <p>    </p>
 </body>
 <back>
  <ref-list>
   <ref id="B1">
    <label>1.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Artemieva I. M., Thybo H. EUNAseis: A seismic model for Moho and crustal structure in Europe, Greenland, and the North Atlantic region // Tectonophysics. — 2013. — Vol. 609. — P. 97–153. — DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2013.08.004.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Artemieva I. M., Thybo H. EUNAseis: A seismic model for Moho and crustal structure in Europe, Greenland, and the North Atlantic region // Tectonophysics. — 2013. — Vol. 609. — P. 97–153. — DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2013.08.004.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B2">
    <label>2.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Artemieva I. M. Lithosphere structure in Europe from thermal isostasy // Earth-Science Reviews. — 2019. — Vol. 188. — P. 454–468. — DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.11.004.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Artemieva I. M. Lithosphere structure in Europe from thermal isostasy // Earth-Science Reviews. — 2019. — Vol. 188. — P. 454–468. — DOI: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.11.004.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B3">
    <label>3.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Avrov V. Y., Buyalov N. I., Vasiliev V. G. Map of oil and gas potential of the USSR as of January 1 1967. — Moscow : Main Directorate of Geodesy, Cartography, 1969. — (In Russian).</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Avrov V. Y., Buyalov N. I., Vasiliev V. G. Map of oil and gas potential of the USSR as of January 1 1967. — Moscow : Main Directorate of Geodesy, Cartography, 1969. — (In Russian).</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B4">
    <label>4.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Beardsmore G. R., Cull J. P. Crustal Heat Flow: A Guide to Measurement and Modelling. — Cambridge University Press, 2001. — DOI: 10.1017/cbo9780511606021.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Beardsmore G. R., Cull J. P. Crustal Heat Flow: A Guide to Measurement and Modelling. — Cambridge University Press, 2001. — DOI: 10.1017/cbo9780511606021.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B5">
    <label>5.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bouman J., Floberghagen R., Rummel R. More Than 50 Years of Progress in Satellite Gravimetry // Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. — 2013. — Vol. 94, no. 31. — P. 269–270. — DOI: 10.1002/2013eo310001.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bouman J., Floberghagen R., Rummel R. More Than 50 Years of Progress in Satellite Gravimetry // Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union. — 2013. — Vol. 94, no. 31. — P. 269–270. — DOI: 10.1002/2013eo310001.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B6">
    <label>6.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bouman J., Ebbing J., Meekes S., et al. GOCE gravity gradient data for lithospheric modeling // International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation. — 2015. — Vol. 35. — P. 16–30. — DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2013.11.001.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bouman J., Ebbing J., Meekes S., et al. GOCE gravity gradient data for lithospheric modeling // International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation. — 2015. — Vol. 35. — P. 16–30. — DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2013.11.001.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B7">
    <label>7.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Constantino R. R., Hackspacher P. C., Souza I. A. de, et al. Basement structures over Rio Grande Rise from gravity inversion // Journal of South American Earth Sciences. — 2017. — Vol. 75. — P. 85–91. — DOI: 10.1016/j.jsames.2017.02.005.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Constantino R. R., Hackspacher P. C., Souza I. A. de, et al. Basement structures over Rio Grande Rise from gravity inversion // Journal of South American Earth Sciences. — 2017. — Vol. 75. — P. 85–91. — DOI: 10.1016/j.jsames.2017.02.005.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B8">
    <label>8.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Förste C., König R., Bruinsma S., et al. On the principles of satellite-based Gravity Field Determination with special focus on the Satellite Laser Ranging technique // 20th International Workshop on Laser Ranging. — Potsdam : Helmholtz Centre, 2016.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Förste C., König R., Bruinsma S., et al. On the principles of satellite-based Gravity Field Determination with special focus on the Satellite Laser Ranging technique // 20th International Workshop on Laser Ranging. — Potsdam : Helmholtz Centre, 2016.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B9">
    <label>9.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Fowler C. M. R. The Solid Earth: An Introduction to Global Geophysics (2nd ed.) — Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2004.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Fowler C. M. R. The Solid Earth: An Introduction to Global Geophysics (2nd ed.) — Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2004.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B10">
    <label>10.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Haas P., Ebbing J., Szwillus W. Sensitivity analysis of gravity gradient inversion of the Moho depth—a case example for the Amazonian Craton // Geophysical Journal International. — 2020. — Vol. 221, no. 3. — P. 1896–1912. — DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggaa122.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Haas P., Ebbing J., Szwillus W. Sensitivity analysis of gravity gradient inversion of the Moho depth—a case example for the Amazonian Craton // Geophysical Journal International. — 2020. — Vol. 221, no. 3. — P. 1896–1912. — DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggaa122.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B11">
    <label>11.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Jennings S. S., Hasterok D., Lucazeau F. ThermoGlobe: Extending the global heat flow database // Journal TBD. — 2021.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Jennings S. S., Hasterok D., Lucazeau F. ThermoGlobe: Extending the global heat flow database // Journal TBD. — 2021.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B12">
    <label>12.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Nabighian M. N., Ander M. E., Grauch V. J. S., et al. Historical development of the gravity method in exploration // Geophysics. — 2005. — Vol. 70, no. 6. — P. 63–89. — DOI: 10.1190/1.2133785.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Nabighian M. N., Ander M. E., Grauch V. J. S., et al. Historical development of the gravity method in exploration // Geophysics. — 2005. — Vol. 70, no. 6. — P. 63–89. — DOI: 10.1190/1.2133785.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B13">
    <label>13.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ognev I., Ebbing J., Haas P. Crustal structure of the Volgo-Uralian subcraton revealed by inverse and forward gravity modelling // Solid Earth. — 2022a. — Vol. 13, no. 2. — P. 431–448. — DOI: 10.5194/se-13-431-2022.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ognev I., Ebbing J., Haas P. Crustal structure of the Volgo-Uralian subcraton revealed by inverse and forward gravity modelling // Solid Earth. — 2022a. — Vol. 13, no. 2. — P. 431–448. — DOI: 10.5194/se-13-431-2022.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B14">
    <label>14.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ognev I., Ebbing J., Lösing M., et al. The thermal state of Volgo–Uralia from Bayesian inversion of surface heat flow and temperature // Geophysical Journal International. — 2022b. — Vol. 232, no. 1. — P. 322–342. — DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggac338.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ognev I., Ebbing J., Lösing M., et al. The thermal state of Volgo–Uralia from Bayesian inversion of surface heat flow and temperature // Geophysical Journal International. — 2022b. — Vol. 232, no. 1. — P. 322–342. — DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggac338.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B15">
    <label>15.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Paraskun V. I., Rozhetskiy B. Y. Database of Oil and gas fields of FSUE ”VNIGNI”. — Rosgeolfond, 2011. — (In Russian).</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Paraskun V. I., Rozhetskiy B. Y. Database of Oil and gas fields of FSUE ”VNIGNI”. — Rosgeolfond, 2011. — (In Russian).</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B16">
    <label>16.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Sobh M., Ebbing J., Mansi A. H., et al. Inverse and 3D forward gravity modelling for the estimation of the crustal thickness of Egypt // Tectonophysics. — 2019. — Vol. 752. — P. 52–67. — DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2018.12.002.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Sobh M., Ebbing J., Mansi A. H., et al. Inverse and 3D forward gravity modelling for the estimation of the crustal thickness of Egypt // Tectonophysics. — 2019. — Vol. 752. — P. 52–67. — DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2018.12.002.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
   <ref id="B17">
    <label>17.</label>
    <citation-alternatives>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Zheng W., Hsu H., Zhong M., et al. Requirements Analysis for Future Satellite Gravity Mission Improved-GRACE // Surveys in Geophysics. — 2014. — Vol. 36, no. 1. — P. 87–109. — DOI: 10.1007/s10712-014-9306-y.</mixed-citation>
     <mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Zheng W., Hsu H., Zhong M., et al. Requirements Analysis for Future Satellite Gravity Mission Improved-GRACE // Surveys in Geophysics. — 2014. — Vol. 36, no. 1. — P. 87–109. — DOI: 10.1007/s10712-014-9306-y.</mixed-citation>
    </citation-alternatives>
   </ref>
  </ref-list>
 </back>
</article>
