Russian Journal of Earth Sciences Russian Journal of Earth Sciences Russian Journal of Earth Sciences 1681-1208 90752 10.2205/2025ES000980 cnsory Спецвыпуск: "Наука о данных, геоинформатика и системный анализ в изучении Земли" Special Issue: “Data Science, Geoinformatics and Systems Analysis in Geosciences” Спецвыпуск: "Наука о данных, геоинформатика и системный анализ в изучении Земли" Analysis of Changes in the Seismic Regime at Engineering Facilities Under the Influence of Natural and Man-made Factors Analysis of Changes in the Seismic Regime at Engineering Facilities Under the Influence of Natural and Man-made Factors Трифонов Борис Афанасьевич Trifonov Boris Afanasievich b_trifonoff@mail.ru

кандидат геолого-минералогических наук;

candidate of geological and mineralogical sciences;

 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5707-9739 Милановский Святослав Юрьевич Milanovskiy Svyatoslav Yur'evich svetmil@mail.ru

кандидат физико-математических наук;

candidate of physical and mathematical sciences;

 Институт геоэкологии им.Е.М.Сергеева Российской академии наук Россия Sergeev Institute of Geoecology of the RAS Russian Federation Институт геоэкологии им.Е.М.Сергеева Российской академии наук Россия Sergeev Institute of Geoecology of the RAS Russian Federation Институт физики Земли им. О.Ю. Шмидта Российской академии наук Россия Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth of the RAS Russian Federation 23 05 2025 23 05 2025 25 2 1 7 15 11 2024 15 04 2025 https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/90752/view

The experience of studying the consequences of strong earthquakes indicates that intensity and type of seismic effects are determined by local features of the geological environment, which can change over time under the influence of natural and man-made factors. The results of longterm systematic experimental studies on the study of changes in seismic conditions over time in the soil complexes of the Imereti lowland and the site of the Balakovo NPP are presented. This made it possible to carry out long-term forecasting of changes in seismic conditions during economic development of territories.

The experience of studying the consequences of strong earthquakes indicates that intensity and type of seismic effects are determined by local features of the geological environment, which can change over time under the influence of natural and man-made factors. The results of longterm systematic experimental studies on the study of changes in seismic conditions over time in the soil complexes of the Imereti lowland and the site of the Balakovo NPP are presented. This made it possible to carry out long-term forecasting of changes in seismic conditions during economic development of territories.

 seismic microzonation seismic properties seismic forecast calculated accelerograms man-made changes seismic microzonation seismic properties seismic forecast calculated accelerograms man-made changes The work was performed within the framework of the state assignments of the Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth of the Russian Academy of Sciences (scientific topic FMWU-2022-0006) and Sergeev Institute of Environmental Geoscience of the Russian Academy of Sciences (scientific topic FMWU-2022-0010). The authors will be grateful to the reviewers who will take the trouble to critically read the article and make a comments necessary to finalize and improve the text. The work was performed within the framework of the state assignments of the Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth of the Russian Academy of Sciences (scientific topic FMWU-2022-0006) and Sergeev Institute of Environmental Geoscience of the Russian Academy of Sciences (scientific topic FMWU-2022-0010). The authors will be grateful to the reviewers who will take the trouble to critically read the article and make a comments necessary to finalize and improve the text.

 

Aleshin A. S. Seismic microzonation of especially responsible objects. — Moscow : Svetoch Plus, 2010. — 303 p. — (In Russian). Aleshin A. S. Seismic microzonation of especially responsible objects. — Moscow : Svetoch Plus, 2010. — 303 p. — (In Russian). Aleshin A. S. Fundamentals of Continuum Theory of Seismic Microzonation // Earthquake engineering. Constructions safety. — 2015. — No. 5. — P. 18–26. — (In Russian). Aleshin A. S. Fundamentals of Continuum Theory of Seismic Microzonation // Earthquake engineering. Constructions safety. — 2015. — No. 5. — P. 18–26. — (In Russian). Averyanova V. N. Energy-spectral method of seismic hazard assessment. — Moscow : Nauka, 1985. — 192 p. — (In Russian). Averyanova V. N. Energy-spectral method of seismic hazard assessment. — Moscow : Nauka, 1985. — 192 p. — (In Russian). Balabanov I. P. and. Gay N. A. The history of the development of the Imereti lagoon in the mesopotamia of Mzynta-Psou // Collection of the Black Sea region and conditions of global climate change: patterns of development of the natural environment over the past 20 thousand years and forecast for the current century. — Moscow : Moscow State University, 2010. — P. 25–41. — (In Russian). Balabanov I. P. and. Gay N. A. The history of the development of the Imereti lagoon in the mesopotamia of Mzynta-Psou // Collection of the Black Sea region and conditions of global climate change: patterns of development of the natural environment over the past 20 thousand years and forecast for the current century. — Moscow : Moscow State University, 2010. — P. 25–41. — (In Russian). Balabanov I. P., Nikiforov S. P., Pashkovsky I. S. Imereti lowland. Natural and geological conditions, problems of development. — Moscow : Nedra, 2011. — 281 p. — (In Russian). Balabanov I. P., Nikiforov S. P., Pashkovsky I. S. Imereti lowland. Natural and geological conditions, problems of development. — Moscow : Nedra, 2011. — 281 p. — (In Russian). Bardet J. P., Tobita T. NERA. A computer program for nonlinear earthquake site response analyses of layered soil deposits. — USA : Department of Civil Engineering, University of Southern California, 2001. — 44 p. Bardet J. P., Tobita T. NERA. A computer program for nonlinear earthquake site response analyses of layered soil deposits. — USA : Department of Civil Engineering, University of Southern California, 2001. — 44 p. Detailed seismic zoning and seismic microzoning for territorial planning SP 408.1325800.2018. — Standartinform, 2019. — 16 p. — (In Russian). Detailed seismic zoning and seismic microzoning for territorial planning SP 408.1325800.2018. — Standartinform, 2019. — 16 p. — (In Russian). Dif H., Zendagui D., Bard P.-Y. Implementing effects of site conditions in damage estimated at urban scale // Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering. — 2018. — Vol. 17, issue 3, no. 3. — P. 1185–1219. — DOI: 10.1007/s10518-018-0512-8. Dif H., Zendagui D., Bard P.-Y. Implementing effects of site conditions in damage estimated at urban scale // Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering. — 2018. — Vol. 17, issue 3, no. 3. — P. 1185–1219. — DOI: 10.1007/s10518-018-0512-8. Dzhurik V. I., V. V. Sevastyanov V. A. P. Assessment of the influence of groundwater conditions on seismic hazard: A methodological guide to seismic microzonation. — Moscow : Nauka, 1988. — 224 p. — (In Russian). Dzhurik V. I., V. V. Sevastyanov V. A. P. Assessment of the influence of groundwater conditions on seismic hazard: A methodological guide to seismic microzonation. — Moscow : Nauka, 1988. — 224 p. — (In Russian). Johnson C. W., Kilb D., Baltay A., et al. Peak Ground Velocity Spatial Variability Revealed by Dense Seismic Array in Southern California // Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth. — 2020. — Vol. 125, no. 6. — DOI: 10.1029/2019jb019157. Johnson C. W., Kilb D., Baltay A., et al. Peak Ground Velocity Spatial Variability Revealed by Dense Seismic Array in Southern California // Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth. — 2020. — Vol. 125, no. 6. — DOI: 10.1029/2019jb019157. Kapustyan N. K., Yudakhin F. N. Seismic studies of anthropogenic impacts on the Earth’s crust and their consequences. — Ekaterinburg : Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 2007. — 415 p. — (In Russian). Kapustyan N. K., Yudakhin F. N. Seismic studies of anthropogenic impacts on the Earth’s crust and their consequences. — Ekaterinburg : Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 2007. — 415 p. — (In Russian). Krieger N. I., Kozhevnikov A. D., Mindel I. G. Seismic properties of dispersed soils (a seismolithoecological approach). — Moscow : INZHEKO, 1994. — 195 p. — (In Russian). Krieger N. I., Kozhevnikov A. D., Mindel I. G. Seismic properties of dispersed soils (a seismolithoecological approach). — Moscow : INZHEKO, 1994. — 195 p. — (In Russian). Mindel I. G., Trifonov B. A. Changes in the seismic properties of soils at the base of buildings and structures over time, as well as after their improvement by engineering training methods // Industrial and Civil engineering. — 2003. — No. 10. — P. 35–37. — (In Russian). Mindel I. G., Trifonov B. A. Changes in the seismic properties of soils at the base of buildings and structures over time, as well as after their improvement by engineering training methods // Industrial and Civil engineering. — 2003. — No. 10. — P. 35–37. — (In Russian). Mindel I. G., Trifonov B. A., Ragozin N. A. Seismic exploration methods for studying soil properties at the base of buildings and structures, including after their improvement by engineering training methods // Proceedings of the international geotechnical conference. Soil-structure interaction: calculation methods and engineering practice. Volume 2. — Saint Petersburg : ASV Publishers, 2005. — P. 307–311. — (In Russian). Mindel I. G., Trifonov B. A., Ragozin N. A. Seismic exploration methods for studying soil properties at the base of buildings and structures, including after their improvement by engineering training methods // Proceedings of the international geotechnical conference. Soil-structure interaction: calculation methods and engineering practice. Volume 2. — Saint Petersburg : ASV Publishers, 2005. — P. 307–311. — (In Russian). Ogadzhanov V. A., Maslova M. Y., Ogadzhanov A. V. Saratov geodynamic polygon // Earthquakes of Northern Eurasia in 2003. — Obninsk : GS RAS, 2009. — P. 222–226. — (In Russian). Ogadzhanov V. A., Maslova M. Y., Ogadzhanov A. V. Saratov geodynamic polygon // Earthquakes of Northern Eurasia in 2003. — Obninsk : GS RAS, 2009. — P. 222–226. — (In Russian). Ozmidov O. R. The assessment of risk of seismic liquefaction of a soil deposit at Olympic construction at Sochi city // Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences. — 2014. — No. 1. — P. 48–54. — (In Russian). Ozmidov O. R. The assessment of risk of seismic liquefaction of a soil deposit at Olympic construction at Sochi city // Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences. — 2014. — No. 1. — P. 48–54. — (In Russian). Pavlenko O. V. Influence of soil conditions on the characteristics of vibrations on the surface on the example of Sochi // Earthquake-resistant construction. Structure safety . VI Russian National Conference on earthquake-resistant construction and seismic zoning, September 19–24, 2005, Sochi. — 2005. — No. 5. — P. 53–56. — (In Russian). Pavlenko O. V. Influence of soil conditions on the characteristics of vibrations on the surface on the example of Sochi // Earthquake-resistant construction. Structure safety . VI Russian National Conference on earthquake-resistant construction and seismic zoning, September 19–24, 2005, Sochi. — 2005. — No. 5. — P. 53–56. — (In Russian). Prasad B. B. Fundamentals of Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. — New Delhi : PHI Learning Private Limited, 2011. — 567 p. Prasad B. B. Fundamentals of Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. — New Delhi : PHI Learning Private Limited, 2011. — 567 p. Ratnikova L. I., Levshin A. L. Calculation of spectral characteristics of thin-layered media // Izvestiya AN SSSR. Physics of the Earth. — 1967. — No. 2. — P. 41–53. — (In Russian). Ratnikova L. I., Levshin A. L. Calculation of spectral characteristics of thin-layered media // Izvestiya AN SSSR. Physics of the Earth. — 1967. — No. 2. — P. 41–53. — (In Russian). Ratnikova L. I. Calculation of vibrations on a free surface and at internal points of a horizontally layered absorbing soil. Seismic microzoning. — Nauka, 1984. — (In Russian). Ratnikova L. I. Calculation of vibrations on a free surface and at internal points of a horizontally layered absorbing soil. Seismic microzoning. — Nauka, 1984. — (In Russian). Sergeev E. M., Osipov V. I. The Problems and ways of further development of Engineering Geology after International Geological Congress, XXIV Session // Problems of geology and mineral deposits at the XXIV Session of the International Geological Congress. — Moscow : Nauka, 1974. — P. 111–117. — (In Russian). Sergeev E. M., Osipov V. I. The Problems and ways of further development of Engineering Geology after International Geological Congress, XXIV Session // Problems of geology and mineral deposits at the XXIV Session of the International Geological Congress. — Moscow : Nauka, 1974. — P. 111–117. — (In Russian). Ulomov V. I., Shumilina L. S. A set of maps of the general seismic zoning of the territory of the Russian Federation — GSZ-97. Scale 1 : 8,000,000. Explanatory note and list of cities and settlements located in earthquake-prone areas. — Moscow : Schmidt Joint Institute of Physics of the Earth of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 1999. — 57 p. — (In Russian). Ulomov V. I., Shumilina L. S. A set of maps of the general seismic zoning of the territory of the Russian Federation — GSZ-97. Scale 1 : 8,000,000. Explanatory note and list of cities and settlements located in earthquake-prone areas. — Moscow : Schmidt Joint Institute of Physics of the Earth of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 1999. — 57 p. — (In Russian). Ulomov V. I. Probabilistic-deterministic assessment of seismic impacts based on maps of GSZ-97 (OCP-97) and scenario earthquakes // Earthquake-resistant construction. Structure safety. — 2005. — No. 4. — P. 60–68. — (In Russian). Ulomov V. I. Probabilistic-deterministic assessment of seismic impacts based on maps of GSZ-97 (OCP-97) and scenario earthquakes // Earthquake-resistant construction. Structure safety. — 2005. — No. 4. — P. 60–68. — (In Russian). Wight L. H. A geological and seismological investigation of the Lawrence Livermore laboratory site. Prepared for US. Atomic Energy Commission under contract No. W-7405-Eng-48 Lawrence Livermore Laboratory University of California/Livermore May 17. — 1974. — 38 p. Wight L. H. A geological and seismological investigation of the Lawrence Livermore laboratory site. Prepared for US. Atomic Energy Commission under contract No. W-7405-Eng-48 Lawrence Livermore Laboratory University of California/Livermore May 17. — 1974. — 38 p. Zaalishvili V. B. Seismic microzonation of urban territories, settlements and large building sites. — Moscow : Nauka, 2009. — 349 p. — (In Russian). Zaalishvili V. B. Seismic microzonation of urban territories, settlements and large building sites. — Moscow : Nauka, 2009. — 349 p. — (In Russian).