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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="en">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn publication-format="online">1681-1208</issn>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">86579</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.2205/2024ES000954</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="edn">vetpkc</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en">
     <subject>ORIGINAL ARTICLES</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group>
     <subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="en">What Should We Know to Predict Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Power Transmission Lines?</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>What Should We Know to Predict Geomagnetically Induced Currents in Power Transmission Lines?</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <contrib-group content-type="authors">
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3056-7465</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Пилипенко</surname>
       <given-names>Вячеслав Анатольевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Pilipenko</surname>
       <given-names>Vyacheslav Anatolievich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>space.soliton@gmail.com</email>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>доктор физико-математических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>doctor of physical and mathematical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0825-151X</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Козырева</surname>
       <given-names>Ольга Васильевна</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Kozyreva</surname>
       <given-names>Olga Vasilyevna</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>kozyreva@ifz.ru</email>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>доктор физико-математических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>doctor of physical and mathematical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Белаховский</surname>
       <given-names>Владимир Борисович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Belahovskiy</surname>
       <given-names>Vladimir Borisovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>belakhov@mail.ru</email>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат физико-математических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of physical and mathematical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Сахаров</surname>
       <given-names>Ярослав Алексеевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Sakharov</surname>
       <given-names>Yaroslav Alekseevich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>sakharov@pgia.ru</email>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат физико-математических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of physical and mathematical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-6"/>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-7"/>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-8"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5681-065X</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Селиванов</surname>
       <given-names>Василий Николаевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Selivanov</surname>
       <given-names>Vasiliy Nikolaevich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>v.selivanov@ksc.ru</email>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат технических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of technical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-9"/>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Институт физики Земли им. О.Ю. Шмидта РАН</institution>
     <city>Москва</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth RAS</institution>
     <city>Moscow</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-2">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Геофизический центр РАН</institution>
     <city>Москва</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Geophysical Center RAS</institution>
     <city>Moscow</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-3">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Институт космических исследований</institution>
     <city>Москва</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Space Research Institute</institution>
     <city>Moscow</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-4">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Институт физики Земли им. О.Ю. Шмидта РАН</institution>
     <city>Москва</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, RAS</institution>
     <city>Moscow</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-5">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Полярный геофизический институт</institution>
     <city>Апатиты</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Polar Geophysical Institute</institution>
     <city>Apatity</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-6">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Полярный Геофизический Институт</institution>
     <city>Апатиты</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Polar Geophysical Institute</institution>
     <city>Apatity</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-7">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Центр физико-технических проблем энергетики Севера КНЦ РАН</institution>
     <city>Апатиты</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Nothern Energetics Research Centre KSC RAS</institution>
     <city>Apatity</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-8">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Геофизический центр РАН</institution>
     <city>Москва</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences</institution>
     <city>Moscow</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-9">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Центр физико-технических проблем энергетики Севера КНЦ РАН</institution>
     <city>Апатиты</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Northern Energetics Research Centre KSC RAS</institution>
     <city>Apatity</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <pub-date publication-format="print" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2024-12-30T00:00:00+03:00">
    <day>30</day>
    <month>12</month>
    <year>2024</year>
   </pub-date>
   <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2024-12-30T00:00:00+03:00">
    <day>30</day>
    <month>12</month>
    <year>2024</year>
   </pub-date>
   <volume>24</volume>
   <issue>6</issue>
   <fpage>1</fpage>
   <lpage>15</lpage>
   <history>
    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2024-08-03T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>03</day>
     <month>08</month>
     <year>2024</year>
    </date>
    <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2024-11-21T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>21</day>
     <month>11</month>
     <year>2024</year>
    </date>
   </history>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/86579/view">https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/86579/view</self-uri>
   <abstract xml:lang="ru">
    <p>This review considers several issues of space weather studies that are directly related to the problem of geomagnetically induced current (GIC) excitation in the power line transmission systems. Expectations to reduce the damage to technological systems from space weather were related with elaboration of models capable of real-time predictions of electromagnetic disturbances at the Earth's surface. However, the examination of the feasibility of the MHD simulation to predict the level of geomagnetic field variability, and consequently GICs, during the May 27–28, 2017 storm showed that the modeling reasonably well reproduced the global magnetospheric parameters, but the predicted magnetic field variability dB/dt has turned out to be more than order of magnitude less than that observed. The reason is the inability of current global MHD models to adequately predict the fine structure of the storm/substorm – Pi3 disturbances, and consequently GICs that they drive. Moreover, impulsive disturbances such as Pi3 pulsations demand a special tool for their analysis. Data processing technique for a 2D network of magnetic stations has to be elaborated to automatically recognize eddy current structures in the ionosphere and estimate their characteristics. The proposed technique applied to Pi3 pulsations on March 17, 2013 revealed that each vortex caused a disturbance of the vertical magnetic component Z and GIC burst up to ∼ 100A. The efficiency of GIC generation by different types of magnetic storms must be examined. For that it is necessary to compare GIC responses to storms caused by coronal mass ejection and by corotating interaction region, and to estimate the normalized GIC-effectiveness of each storm. The excitation rate of GIC during storms may be associated with the occurrence of mesoscale current vortices.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>This review considers several issues of space weather studies that are directly related to the problem of geomagnetically induced current (GIC) excitation in the power line transmission systems. Expectations to reduce the damage to technological systems from space weather were related with elaboration of models capable of real-time predictions of electromagnetic disturbances at the Earth's surface. However, the examination of the feasibility of the MHD simulation to predict the level of geomagnetic field variability, and consequently GICs, during the May 27–28, 2017 storm showed that the modeling reasonably well reproduced the global magnetospheric parameters, but the predicted magnetic field variability dB/dt has turned out to be more than order of magnitude less than that observed. The reason is the inability of current global MHD models to adequately predict the fine structure of the storm/substorm – Pi3 disturbances, and consequently GICs that they drive. Moreover, impulsive disturbances such as Pi3 pulsations demand a special tool for their analysis. Data processing technique for a 2D network of magnetic stations has to be elaborated to automatically recognize eddy current structures in the ionosphere and estimate their characteristics. The proposed technique applied to Pi3 pulsations on March 17, 2013 revealed that each vortex caused a disturbance of the vertical magnetic component Z and GIC burst up to ∼ 100A. The efficiency of GIC generation by different types of magnetic storms must be examined. For that it is necessary to compare GIC responses to storms caused by coronal mass ejection and by corotating interaction region, and to estimate the normalized GIC-effectiveness of each storm. The excitation rate of GIC during storms may be associated with the occurrence of mesoscale current vortices.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>magnetic storm</kwd>
    <kwd>substorms</kwd>
    <kwd>magnetic impulsive events</kwd>
    <kwd>ionospheric vortex</kwd>
    <kwd>geomagnetically induced currents</kwd>
    <kwd>Pi3 pulsations</kwd>
    <kwd>power transmission lines</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>magnetic storm</kwd>
    <kwd>substorms</kwd>
    <kwd>magnetic impulsive events</kwd>
    <kwd>ionospheric vortex</kwd>
    <kwd>geomagnetically induced currents</kwd>
    <kwd>Pi3 pulsations</kwd>
    <kwd>power transmission lines</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <funding-group>
    <funding-statement xml:lang="ru">The SWMF modeling results were provided by L. Rastaetter and M. Hartinger. We appreciate a very thorough examination of the m/s by a Reviewer and his helpful comments. The study is supported by the grant 21-77-30010 from the Russian Science Foundation. The IMAGE magnetometer data and related 2D ionospheric current modeling are available at the website https://space.fmi.fi/image/.</funding-statement>
    <funding-statement xml:lang="en">The SWMF modeling results were provided by L. Rastaetter and M. Hartinger. We appreciate a very thorough examination of the m/s by a Reviewer and his helpful comments. The study is supported by the grant 21-77-30010 from the Russian Science Foundation. The IMAGE magnetometer data and related 2D ionospheric current modeling are available at the website https://space.fmi.fi/image/.</funding-statement>
   </funding-group>
  </article-meta>
 </front>
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