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 <front>
  <journal-meta>
   <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-id>
   <journal-title-group>
    <journal-title xml:lang="en">Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</journal-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>Russian Journal of Earth Sciences</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </journal-title-group>
   <issn publication-format="online">1681-1208</issn>
  </journal-meta>
  <article-meta>
   <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">95197</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.2205/2025ES001015</article-id>
   <article-id pub-id-type="edn">smdoxs</article-id>
   <article-categories>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru">
     <subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en">
     <subject>ORIGINAL ARTICLES</subject>
    </subj-group>
    <subj-group>
     <subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject>
    </subj-group>
   </article-categories>
   <title-group>
    <article-title xml:lang="en">On an Approach to Zoning Risks of Groundwater Protective Layer Failure Based on a Set of Geophysical and Geotechnical Characteristics</article-title>
    <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
     <trans-title>On an Approach to Zoning Risks of Groundwater Protective Layer Failure Based on a Set of Geophysical and Geotechnical Characteristics</trans-title>
    </trans-title-group>
   </title-group>
   <contrib-group content-type="authors">
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0785-4986</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Лосев</surname>
       <given-names>Илья Владимирович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Losev</surname>
       <given-names>Il'ya Vladimirovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <email>i.losev@gcras.ru</email>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2737-6166</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Барях</surname>
       <given-names>Александр Абрамович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Baryakh</surname>
       <given-names>Alexander Abramovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>доктор технических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>doctor of technical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3408-9309</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Евсеев</surname>
       <given-names>Антон Владимирович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Evseev</surname>
       <given-names>Anton Vladimirovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат технических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of technical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0008-5139-8086</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Камаев</surname>
       <given-names>Артём Анатольевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Kamaev</surname>
       <given-names>Artem Anatolyevich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0003-5273-9931</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Жукова</surname>
       <given-names>Ирина Александровна</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Zhukova</surname>
       <given-names>Irina Alexandrovna</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7486-6104</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Маневич</surname>
       <given-names>Александр Ильич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Manevich</surname>
       <given-names>Alexandr Ilyich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3461-6383</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Шевчук</surname>
       <given-names>Роман Васильевич</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Shevchuk</surname>
       <given-names>Roman Vasilievich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат технических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of technical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
    <contrib contrib-type="author">
     <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6435-464X</contrib-id>
     <name-alternatives>
      <name xml:lang="ru">
       <surname>Акматов</surname>
       <given-names>Дастан Женишбекович</given-names>
      </name>
      <name xml:lang="en">
       <surname>Akmatov</surname>
       <given-names>Dastan Zhenishbekovich</given-names>
      </name>
     </name-alternatives>
     <bio xml:lang="ru">
      <p>кандидат технических наук;</p>
     </bio>
     <bio xml:lang="en">
      <p>candidate of technical sciences;</p>
     </bio>
     <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/>
    </contrib>
   </contrib-group>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-1">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Геофизический центр Российской Академии Наук</institution>
     <country>RU</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences</institution>
     <country>RU</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-2">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Горного института Уральского отделения Российской академии наук</institution>
     <city>Пермь</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Mining Institute of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences</institution>
     <city>Пермь</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-3">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Горного института Уральского отделения Российской академии наук</institution>
     <city>Пермь</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">Mining Institute of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences</institution>
     <city>Пермь</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-4">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">Национальный исследовательский технологический университет МИСиС</institution>
     <city>Moscow</city>
     <country>RU</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">National University of Science and Technology</institution>
     <city>Moscow</city>
     <country>RU</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <aff-alternatives id="aff-5">
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="ru">ПАО «Уралкалий»</institution>
     <city>Березники</city>
     <country>Россия</country>
    </aff>
    <aff>
     <institution xml:lang="en">PJSC Uralkali</institution>
     <city>Березники</city>
     <country>Russian Federation</country>
    </aff>
   </aff-alternatives>
   <pub-date publication-format="print" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-07-03T00:00:00+03:00">
    <day>03</day>
    <month>07</month>
    <year>2025</year>
   </pub-date>
   <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-07-03T00:00:00+03:00">
    <day>03</day>
    <month>07</month>
    <year>2025</year>
   </pub-date>
   <volume>25</volume>
   <issue>4</issue>
   <elocation-id>ES4004</elocation-id>
   <history>
    <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2025-02-19T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>19</day>
     <month>02</month>
     <year>2025</year>
    </date>
    <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2025-05-26T00:00:00+03:00">
     <day>26</day>
     <month>05</month>
     <year>2025</year>
    </date>
   </history>
   <self-uri xlink:href="https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/95197/view">https://rjes.ru/en/nauka/article/95197/view</self-uri>
   <abstract xml:lang="ru">
    <p>The Verkhnekamsk potassium-magnesium salt deposit (VKSD) is one of the largest in the world. The primary challenge in underground salt mining is maintaining the integrity of the groundwater protective layer, which separates the mined seams from aquifers. In this context, the Verkhnekamsk deposit is mined using a chamber system room-and-pillar method, ensuring the stability of the protective layer through inter-chamber pillars. This paper presents the results of a preliminary analysis of the geological and mining conditions in one of the mines of the Verkhnekamsk deposit. The procedure for forming the initial data set is discussed. Test calculations based on a limited data set were performed, demonstrating the potential of combining artificial neural network algorithms and discrete mathematical analysis. The results achieved on the formed dataset successfully identified hazard classes. Thus, it can be concluded that this technology is fundamentally effective for assessing the risk of groundwater protective layer failure. The proposed approach establishes links between phenomena, their associated risks, and the deformations of underground workings and the Earth's surface, enabling proactive measures to protect mines from flooding.</p>
   </abstract>
   <trans-abstract xml:lang="en">
    <p>The Verkhnekamsk potassium-magnesium salt deposit (VKSD) is one of the largest in the world. The primary challenge in underground salt mining is maintaining the integrity of the groundwater protective layer, which separates the mined seams from aquifers. In this context, the Verkhnekamsk deposit is mined using a chamber system room-and-pillar method, ensuring the stability of the protective layer through inter-chamber pillars. This paper presents the results of a preliminary analysis of the geological and mining conditions in one of the mines of the Verkhnekamsk deposit. The procedure for forming the initial data set is discussed. Test calculations based on a limited data set were performed, demonstrating the potential of combining artificial neural network algorithms and discrete mathematical analysis. The results achieved on the formed dataset successfully identified hazard classes. Thus, it can be concluded that this technology is fundamentally effective for assessing the risk of groundwater protective layer failure. The proposed approach establishes links between phenomena, their associated risks, and the deformations of underground workings and the Earth's surface, enabling proactive measures to protect mines from flooding.</p>
   </trans-abstract>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
    <kwd>geodynamic zoning</kwd>
    <kwd>systems analysis</kwd>
    <kwd>discrete mathematical analysis</kwd>
    <kwd>groundwater protective layer</kwd>
    <kwd>Verkhnekamsk potassium-magnesium salt deposit</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
    <kwd>geodynamic zoning</kwd>
    <kwd>systems analysis</kwd>
    <kwd>discrete mathematical analysis</kwd>
    <kwd>groundwater protective layer</kwd>
    <kwd>Verkhnekamsk potassium-magnesium salt deposit</kwd>
   </kwd-group>
   <funding-group>
    <funding-statement xml:lang="ru">We acknowledge this work employed facilities and data provided by the Shared Research Facility “Analytical Geomagnetic Data Center” of the Geophysical Center of RAS (http://ckp.gcras.ru/). This work was conducted in the framework of budgetary funding of the Geophysical Center of RAS (registration number FMWG-2025- 0005) and Mining Institute of the Ural Branch RAS (registration number 124020500031-4), adopted by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation.</funding-statement>
    <funding-statement xml:lang="en">We acknowledge this work employed facilities and data provided by the Shared Research Facility “Analytical Geomagnetic Data Center” of the Geophysical Center of RAS (http://ckp.gcras.ru/). This work was conducted in the framework of budgetary funding of the Geophysical Center of RAS (registration number FMWG-2025- 0005) and Mining Institute of the Ural Branch RAS (registration number 124020500031-4), adopted by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation.</funding-statement>
   </funding-group>
  </article-meta>
 </front>
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