SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GLOBAL SIMULATION: OPPORTUNITIES AND TREATS TO THE PLANET
Рубрики: ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ
Авторы:
1.
National Technical University of Ukraine "KPI", Kyiv, Ukraine
Тип:
Статья
Страницы:
с 1
по 16
Статус:
Опубликован
Получено:
25.08.2007
Одобрено:
25.08.2007
Опубликовано:
25.08.2007
Язык материала:
английский
Ключевые слова:
sustainable development, world conflicts, global simulation, noosphere.
Аннотация (русский):
A system of factors indices and indicators and a new method named "Sustainable Development Gauging Matrix'' SDGM culminated in a Global Simulation regarding quality of life and security of the world population are developed. The initial data for this simulation were presented by reliable international organizations. Specifically, this study focuses on applying SDGM to analysis of the Systematic Regularity of World Conflicts over the Course of Time. A prognosis is detailed of the next world conflict, labeled the "Conflict of XXI Century'', and an analysis is provided of its nature and main characteristics; duration, main phases of the conflict and intensity. This prognosis details a set of basic global threats that spawn this conflict. Using cluster analysis, its influence on different countries of the world is accurately defined. Inferences are drawn from specific hypotheses as to possible scenarios occurring during the systemic conflict and after its conclusion.
A system of factors indices and indicators and a new method named "Sustainable Development Gauging Matrix'' SDGM culminated in a Global Simulation regarding quality of life and security of the world population are developed. The initial data for this simulation were presented by reliable international organizations. Specifically, this study focuses on applying SDGM to analysis of the Systematic Regularity of World Conflicts over the Course of Time. A prognosis is detailed of the next world conflict, labeled the "Conflict of XXI Century'', and an analysis is provided of its nature and main characteristics; duration, main phases of the conflict and intensity. This prognosis details a set of basic global threats that spawn this conflict. Using cluster analysis, its influence on different countries of the world is accurately defined. Inferences are drawn from specific hypotheses as to possible scenarios occurring during the systemic conflict and after its conclusion.
Ключевые слова:
sustainable development, world conflicts, global simulation, noosphere.
sustainable development, world conflicts, global simulation, noosphere.
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