GLOBAL WARMING IN MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF MULTIFRACTAL DYNAMICS
Rubrics: ORIGINAL ARTICLES
Authors:
1.
Tver State University, Tver, Russia
2.
Tver State University, Tver, Russia
3.
Tver State University, Tver, Russia
4.
Tver State University, Tver, Russia
Type:
Article
Pages:
from 1
to 7
Status:
Published
Received:
25.01.2012
Accepted:
25.01.2012
Published:
25.01.2012
Language:
English
Keywords:
Fractal, multifractal dynamics, global warming, climate, global temperature
Abstract (English):
In this work the variations of global temperature that have occurred in the period from 1860 up to now are analyzed on the basis of the concept of multifractal dynamics. The multifractal curve describing dynamics of global temperature for this period of time has the following values of fractal dimensions over 5 periods lasting for 30ndash;31 years each, accordingly: D1 = 1.140; D2 =1.166; D3 = 1.141; D4 = 1.203; D5 = 1.183. Such relatively small values of fractal dimensions are indicative of essentially determined character of processes responsible for variations of global temperature. Our predictive estimates provide 0.5oC increase in global temperature by 2072, thereby confirming maintenance of the tendency of global warming in the near future.
In this work the variations of global temperature that have occurred in the period from 1860 up to now are analyzed on the basis of the concept of multifractal dynamics. The multifractal curve describing dynamics of global temperature for this period of time has the following values of fractal dimensions over 5 periods lasting for 30ndash;31 years each, accordingly: D1 = 1.140; D2 =1.166; D3 = 1.141; D4 = 1.203; D5 = 1.183. Such relatively small values of fractal dimensions are indicative of essentially determined character of processes responsible for variations of global temperature. Our predictive estimates provide 0.5oC increase in global temperature by 2072, thereby confirming maintenance of the tendency of global warming in the near future.
Keywords:
Fractal, multifractal dynamics, global warming, climate, global temperature
Fractal, multifractal dynamics, global warming, climate, global temperature
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