from 01.01.2018 until now
Saint Petersburg, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
Saint Petersburg State University (Associate Professor)
Saint Petersburg, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
Saint Petersburg, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation
VAC 1.6.18 Науки об атмосфере и климате
UDK 551.5 Метеорология. Климатология
GRNTI 37.21 Метеорология
GRNTI 37.23 Климатология
GRNTI 37.25 Океанология
GRNTI 37.01 Общие вопросы геофизики
GRNTI 37.15 Геомагнетизм и высокие слои атмосферы
GRNTI 37.31 Физика Земли
GRNTI 38.01 Общие вопросы геологии
OKSO 05.02.03 Метеорология
OKSO 05.06.01 Науки о Земле
TBK 6326 Физика атмосферы
TBK 6325 Гидрофизика. Гидрология
The causes of Arctic amplification are widely debated, and a cohesive picture has not been obtained yet. This study has investigated the role of the Atlantic meridional oceanic and atmospheric heat transport into the Arctic in the emergence of Arctic amplification. The integral advective fluxes in the layer of Atlantic waters and in the lower troposphere were considered. The results show a strong coupling between the meridional heat fluxes and regional Arctic amplification in the Eurasian Arctic on the decadal time scales (10–15 years). We argue that the low-frequency variability of Arctic amplification is regulated via the chain of oceanic heat transport — atmospheric heat transport — Arctic amplification. The atmospheric response to the ocean influence occurs with a delay of three years and is attributed to the Bjerknes compensation mechanism. In turn, the atmospheric heat and moisture transport directly affects the magnitude of Arctic amplification, with the latter lagging by one year. Thus, the variability of oceanic heat transport at the southern boundary of the Nordic Seas might be a predictor of the Arctic amplification magnitude over the Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean with a lead time of four years. The results are consistent with the concept of the decadal Arctic climate variability expressed via the Arctic Ocean Oscillation index.
Oceanic heat transport, Atmospheric heat transport, Decadal variability, Arctic climate, Coupling, Eurasian Basin
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