с 01.01.2018 по настоящее время
Санкт-Петербург, г. Санкт-Петербург и Ленинградская область, Россия
Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет (Доцент)
Санкт-Петербург, г. Санкт-Петербург и Ленинградская область, Россия
Санкт-Петербург, г. Санкт-Петербург и Ленинградская область, Россия
ВАК 1.6.18 Науки об атмосфере и климате
УДК 551.5 Метеорология. Климатология
ГРНТИ 37.21 Метеорология
ГРНТИ 37.23 Климатология
ГРНТИ 37.25 Океанология
ГРНТИ 37.01 Общие вопросы геофизики
ГРНТИ 37.15 Геомагнетизм и высокие слои атмосферы
ГРНТИ 37.31 Физика Земли
ГРНТИ 38.01 Общие вопросы геологии
ОКСО 05.02.03 Метеорология
ОКСО 05.06.01 Науки о Земле
ТБК 6326 Физика атмосферы
ТБК 6325 Гидрофизика. Гидрология
Причины Арктического усиления широко обсуждаются, и целостной картины пока не получено. В этом исследовании изучалась роль Атлантического меридионального океанического и атмосферного переноса тепла в Арктику в возникновении Арктического усиления. Рассматривались интегральные адвективные потоки в слое Атлантических вод и в нижней тропосфере. Результаты показывают сильную связь между меридиональными потоками тепла и региональным Арктическим усилением в Евразийской Арктике на десятилетних временных масштабах (10–15 лет). Мы утверждаем, что низкочастотная изменчивость Арктического усиления регулируется цепочкой океанический перенос тепла — атмосферный перенос тепла — Арктическое усиление. Отклик атмосферы на воздействие океана происходит с задержкой в три года и объясняется компенсационным механизмом Бьеркнеса. В свою очередь атмосферный перенос тепла и влаги напрямую влияет на величину Арктического усиления, причём с отставанием последнего на один год. Таким образом, изменчивость океанического переноса тепла на южной границе морей Северо-Европейского бассейна может быть предиктором величины Арктического усиления над Евразийским бассейном Северного Ледовитого океана с заблаговременностью в четыре года. Результаты согласуются с концепцией десятилетней изменчивости климата Арктики, выраженной через индекс колебания Северного Ледовитого океана.
океанический перенос тепла, атмосферный перенос тепла, десятилетняя изменчивость, климат Арктики, взаимодействие, Евразийский бассейн
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